Atletico-MG vs Bahia

Atletico-MG face Bahia in the Serie A on Tuesday 21 July 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC at Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte.

Atletico-MG are 7th with 51 points from 35 games, while Bahia are 6th with 53. That leaves Bahia 2 points ahead.

At home this season Atletico-MG average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Bahia average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Atletico-MG have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 12 times; Bahia have 9 clean sheets and 5 blanks.

Atletico-MG have scored 1 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Bahia have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Atletico-MG come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, while Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Atletico-MG currently sit 7th on 51 points, with Bahia placed 6th on 53 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 79% probability at odds of 1.27.

• Bahia have the better recent form (7 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Atletico-MG have scored 44 goals this season compared with 50 for Bahia.
• Defensively, Atletico-MG have conceded 40 and Bahia have conceded 45.
• League positions: Atletico-MG 7th, Bahia 6th.
• Atletico-MG have won 10 of 17 home matches in this competition.
• Bahia have won 6 of 17 away matches in this competition.

• Atletico-MG at home: 10 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 17 games.
• Bahia away from home: 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats from 17 games.
• Atletico-MG have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches.
• Bahia have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Atletico-MG have won 1, Bahia have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 November 2025, finished Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia.