Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria

Atletico Paranaense face Vitoria in the Copa Do Brasil (Round of 16) on Tuesday 4 August 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.

At home this season Atletico Paranaense average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game; on the road Vitoria average 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Atletico Paranaense have kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Vitoria have 2 clean sheets and 3 blanks.

Atletico Paranaense have scored 6 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Vitoria have scored 3 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Atletico Paranaense come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Vitoria have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 13 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. The home side is favoured for this fixture, backing the Atletico Paranaense win. The Home Win selection (Home Win) is assigned a 72% probability at odds of 1.39.

• Atletico Paranaense have the better recent form (4 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Atletico Paranaense have scored 3 goals this season compared with 7 for Vitoria.
• Defensively, Atletico Paranaense have conceded 4 and Vitoria have conceded 7.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 3.3 goals per game.
• Market rationale: home advantage and the model favour the home side.

• Atletico Paranaense at home: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
• Vitoria away from home: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 3 games.
• Atletico Paranaense have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
• Vitoria have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Atletico Paranaense have won 1, Vitoria have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 24 October 2026, finished Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense.