Bahia vs Vitoria
Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 1-1. The draw prediction landed successfully.
Bahia vs Vitoria Preview
Bahia face Vitoria in the Serie A on Wednesday 11 March 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.
Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games, while Vitoria are 15th with 38. That leaves Bahia 15 points ahead.
At home this season Bahia average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Vitoria average 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded. Bahia have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times; Vitoria have 11 clean sheets and 11 blanks.
Bahia have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Vitoria have scored 3 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
Bahia come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Vitoria have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the same window. Bahia currently sit 6th on 53 points, with Vitoria placed 15th on 38 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 9 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.
Key Match Factors
- Bahia have the better recent form (7 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Bahia have scored 50 goals this season compared with 35 for Vitoria.
- Defensively, Bahia have conceded 45 and Vitoria have conceded 51.
- League positions: Bahia 6th, Vitoria 15th.
- Bahia have won 8 of 17 home matches in this competition.
- Vitoria have won 0 of 17 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Draw
- Bahia at home: 8 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
- Vitoria away from home: 0 wins, 6 draws and 11 defeats from 17 games.
- Bahia have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
- Vitoria have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 3, Vitoria have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 August 2026, finished Vitoria 0-2 Bahia.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitoria | 0 : 2 | Bahia |
| Mar 07, 2026 | Bahia | 2 : 1 | Vitoria |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vitoria | 0 : 1 | Bahia |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Vitoria | 2 : 1 | Bahia |
Season Statistics
| Bahia | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
W
L
D
W
L
|
L
W
L
D
D
L
L
|
| Played | 34 | 34 |
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| Wins | 14 | 10 |
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| Draws | 11 | 8 |
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| Losses | 9 | 16 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 1.0 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.5 |
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| Clean sheets | 9 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 11 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 1 |
Last Matches (Bahia)
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Bahia
Last Matches (Vitoria)
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Related Predictions
Bahia vs Vitoria FAQs
What is the Bahia vs Vitoria prediction?
Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.
When is Bahia vs Vitoria?
Wednesday 11 March 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena Fonte Nova.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vitoria?
In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 3, Vitoria have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 August 2026, finished Vitoria 0-2 Bahia.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Vitoria?
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria. Our Draw tip won.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 21 |