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Bahia vs Vitoria

Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A

Bahia
Bahia
1 : 1
Full Time
Vitoria
Vitoria
Prediction Odds Confidence
Draw 1.30
77.00%
Bahia:
W L D W L
Vitoria:
L D D L L

Prediction Result: WON

Final Score 1 : 1
Tip Given Draw
Outcome WON

The match finished 1-1. The draw prediction landed successfully.

Bahia vs Vitoria Preview

Bahia face Vitoria in the Serie A on Wednesday 11 March 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games, while Vitoria are 15th with 38. That leaves Bahia 15 points ahead.

At home this season Bahia average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Vitoria average 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded. Bahia have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times; Vitoria have 11 clean sheets and 11 blanks.

Bahia have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Vitoria have scored 3 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Match Analysis

Bahia come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Vitoria have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the same window. Bahia currently sit 6th on 53 points, with Vitoria placed 15th on 38 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 9 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.

Key Match Factors

  • Bahia have the better recent form (7 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Bahia have scored 50 goals this season compared with 35 for Vitoria.
  • Defensively, Bahia have conceded 45 and Vitoria have conceded 51.
  • League positions: Bahia 6th, Vitoria 15th.
  • Bahia have won 8 of 17 home matches in this competition.
  • Vitoria have won 0 of 17 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Draw

  • Bahia at home: 8 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
  • Vitoria away from home: 0 wins, 6 draws and 11 defeats from 17 games.
  • Bahia have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
  • Vitoria have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 3, Vitoria have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 August 2026, finished Vitoria 0-2 Bahia.

Date Home Score Away
Aug 23, 2026 Vitoria 0 : 2 Bahia
Mar 07, 2026 Bahia 2 : 1 Vitoria
Jan 25, 2026 Vitoria 0 : 1 Bahia
Oct 17, 2025 Vitoria 2 : 1 Bahia

Season Statistics

Bahia Vitoria
Form
L L W L D W L
L W L D D L L
Played 34 34
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 16
Goals for (avg) 1.5 1.0
Goals against (avg) 1.3 1.5
Clean sheets 9 11
Failed to score 5 11
Biggest win streak 4 1

Last Matches (Bahia)

6 November 2026 • Serie A
L
Cruzeiro
3 2
Bahia
29 October 2026 • Serie A
W
Bahia
3 2
Sao Paulo
25 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Santos
1 1
Bahia
18 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Bahia
0 3
Flamengo
11 October 2026 • Serie A
W
Bahia
1 0
Mirassol

Last Matches (Vitoria)

6 November 2026 • Serie A
L
Vitoria
0 3
Fluminense
31 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Coritiba
2 0
Vitoria
24 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Vitoria
1 1
Atletico Paranaense
19 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Corinthians
1 1
Vitoria
11 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Sao Paulo
2 1
Vitoria

Related Predictions

More Draw predictions

Bahia vs Vitoria FAQs

What is the Bahia vs Vitoria prediction?

Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.

When is Bahia vs Vitoria?

Wednesday 11 March 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena Fonte Nova.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vitoria?

In the last 4 meetings, Bahia have won 3, Vitoria have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 August 2026, finished Vitoria 0-2 Bahia.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Vitoria?

Bahia 1-1 Vitoria. Our Draw tip won.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Serie A

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 23 7 4 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 34 16 9 9 57
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 15 9 10 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 14 11 9 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 13 8 13 47
9 Santos Santos 34 12 11 11 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 11 9 14 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 11 9 14 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 11 8 14 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 10 10 14 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 34 10 8 16 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 9 11 14 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 9 10 15 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 9 10 15 37
19 Remo Remo 34 6 11 17 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 4 9 20 21