Cerro Largo vs Progreso

Cerro Largo face Progreso in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla , Merlot.

Cerro Largo are 12th with 38 points from 36 games, while Progreso are 15th with 36. That leaves Cerro Largo 2 points ahead.

At home this season Cerro Largo average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road Progreso average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded. Cerro Largo have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 13 times; Progreso have 6 clean sheets and 14 blanks.

Cerro Largo have scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Progreso have scored 4 and conceded 3 in their last 4 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Cerro Largo come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Progreso have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Cerro Largo currently sit 12th on 38 points, with Progreso placed 15th on 36 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 79% probability at odds of 1.27.

• Progreso have the better recent form (8 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Cerro Largo have scored 35 goals this season compared with 33 for Progreso.
• Defensively, Cerro Largo have conceded 43 and Progreso have conceded 51.
• League positions: Cerro Largo 12th, Progreso 15th.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 3 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Cerro Largo at home: 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats from 18 games.
• Progreso away from home: 5 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats from 19 games.
• Cerro Largo have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.
• Progreso have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Cerro Largo have won 4, Progreso have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.