Cruzeiro vs Corinthians

Cruzeiro face Corinthians in the Serie A on Wednesday 25 February 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte.

At home this season Cruzeiro average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Corinthians average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Cruzeiro have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times; Corinthians have 12 clean sheets and 8 blanks.

Cruzeiro have scored 11 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Corinthians have scored 6 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Cruzeiro come into this fixture with a recent record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, while Corinthians have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.

• Cruzeiro have the better recent form (12 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Cruzeiro have scored 55 goals this season compared with 36 for Corinthians.
• Defensively, Cruzeiro have conceded 48 and Corinthians have conceded 42.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 2.5 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Cruzeiro at home: 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
• Corinthians away from home: 3 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats from 17 games.
• Cruzeiro have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches.
• Corinthians have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Cruzeiro have won 3, Corinthians have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 16 August 2026, finished Corinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro.