Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Preview
Deportivo Maldonado face Cerro in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado.
Deportivo Maldonado are 3rd with 63 points from 35 games, while Cerro are 14th with 37. That leaves Deportivo Maldonado 26 points ahead.
At home this season Deportivo Maldonado average 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; on the road Cerro average 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded. Deportivo Maldonado have kept 15 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times; Cerro have 7 clean sheets and 12 blanks.
Deportivo Maldonado have scored 9 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Cerro have scored 6 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Cerro have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. Deportivo Maldonado currently sit 3rd on 63 points, with Cerro placed 14th on 37 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 79.37% probability at odds of 1.26.
Key Match Factors
- Deportivo Maldonado have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Deportivo Maldonado have scored 54 goals this season compared with 29 for Cerro.
- Defensively, Deportivo Maldonado have conceded 32 and Cerro have conceded 53.
- League positions: Deportivo Maldonado 3rd, Cerro 14th.
- The last 5 H2H meetings average 2 goals per game.
- Market rationale: goals trend supports Over 1.5.
Why We Tip Over 1.5
- Deportivo Maldonado matches average 2.4 total goals this season and Cerro matches 2.3.
- 4 of Deportivo Maldonado's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- 5 of Cerro's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.0 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Deportivo Maldonado have won 4, Cerro have won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 September 2026, finished Cerro 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cerro | 1 : 2 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| May 02, 2026 | Cerro | 0 : 1 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Cerro | 0 : 0 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| May 05, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 : 0 | Cerro |
| Sep 03, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 : 1 | Cerro |
Season Statistics
| Deportivo Maldonado | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
W
W
W
D
L
W
D
|
L
D
L
W
D
L
L
|
| Played | 35 | 35 |
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| Wins | 18 | 10 |
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| Draws | 9 | 7 |
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| Losses | 8 | 18 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 0.8 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 0.9 | 1.5 |
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| Clean sheets | 15 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 12 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 2 |
Last Matches (Deportivo Maldonado)
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Porongos
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Last Matches (Cerro)
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Related Predictions
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro FAQs
What is the Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro prediction?
Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 79.37% at odds of 1.26.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro?
Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC, in the Primera División, at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro?
In the last 5 meetings, Deportivo Maldonado have won 4, Cerro have won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 September 2026, finished Cerro 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
|
35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 65 |
| 2 |
Atletico Torque
|
36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 64 |
| 3 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63 |
| 4 |
Racing Montevideo
|
36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 61 |
| 5 |
Club Nacional
|
35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 61 |
| 6 |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 59 |
| 7 |
Wanderers
|
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 |
Albion FC
|
35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47 |
| 9 |
Central Espanol
|
36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 |
| 10 |
Juventud
|
35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 41 |
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
|
35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 39 |
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
|
36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 38 |
| 13 |
Boston River
|
36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 37 |
| 14 |
Cerro
|
35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 37 |
| 15 |
Progreso
|
36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 36 |
| 16 |
Danubio
|
35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 |