Estonia vs Bulgaria

Estonia face Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 6) on Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn.

Estonia are 2nd with 9 points from 5 games, while Bulgaria are 3rd with 4. That leaves Estonia 5 points ahead.

At home this season Estonia average 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game; on the road Bulgaria average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Estonia have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Bulgaria have 2 clean sheets and 3 blanks.

Estonia have scored 3 and conceded 1 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Bulgaria have scored 3 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Estonia come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats, while Bulgaria have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. Estonia currently sit 2nd on 9 points, with Bulgaria placed 3rd on 4 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 0 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.

• Estonia have the better recent form (9 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Estonia have scored 3 goals this season compared with 3 for Bulgaria.
• Defensively, Estonia have conceded 1 and Bulgaria have conceded 10.
• League positions: Estonia 2nd, Bulgaria 3rd.
• Estonia have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Bulgaria have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Estonia at home: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
• Bulgaria away from home: 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 2 games.
• Estonia have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches.
• Bulgaria have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 1 meeting, Estonia have won 0, Bulgaria have won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 September 2026, finished Bulgaria 0-0 Estonia.