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Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Full Time
Atalanta
Atalanta
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 2.5 1.39
72.00%
Fiorentina:
L L D W D
Atalanta:
D D L D W

Prediction Result: WON

Final Score 1 : 1
Tip Given Under 2.5
Outcome WON

The match finished 1-1, producing 2 total goals. The Under 2.5 prediction therefore landed successfully.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Preview

Fiorentina face Atalanta in the Serie A on Friday 22 May 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

Fiorentina are 15th with 42 points from 38 games, while Atalanta are 7th with 59. That leaves Atalanta 17 points ahead.

At home this season Fiorentina average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Atalanta average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded. Fiorentina have kept 10 clean sheets and failed to score 11 times; Atalanta have 13 clean sheets and 8 blanks.

Fiorentina have scored 10 and conceded 11 in their last 5 matches, with 5 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 5. Atalanta have scored 8 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Atalanta have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Fiorentina currently sit 15th on 42 points, with Atalanta placed 7th on 59 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 72% probability at odds of 1.39.

Key Match Factors

  • Atalanta have the better recent form (6 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Fiorentina have scored 41 goals this season compared with 51 for Atalanta.
  • Defensively, Fiorentina have conceded 50 and Atalanta have conceded 36.
  • League positions: Fiorentina 15th, Atalanta 7th.
  • Fiorentina have won 4 of 19 home matches in this competition.
  • Atalanta have won 6 of 19 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Under 2.5

  • Fiorentina matches average 2.4 total goals this season and Atalanta matches 2.2.
  • 5 of Fiorentina's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • 3 of Atalanta's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Fiorentina have won 1, Atalanta have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 October 2026, finished Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta.

Date Home Score Away
Oct 29, 2026 Fiorentina 2 : 2 Atalanta
Nov 30, 2025 Atalanta 2 : 0 Fiorentina
Mar 30, 2025 Fiorentina 1 : 0 Atalanta
Sep 15, 2024 Atalanta 3 : 2 Fiorentina

Season Statistics

Fiorentina Atalanta
Form
W D D L D W D
L D L D W L D
Played 38 38
Wins 9 15
Draws 15 14
Losses 14 9
Goals for (avg) 1.1 1.3
Goals against (avg) 1.3 0.9
Clean sheets 10 13
Failed to score 11 8
Biggest win streak 2 3

Last Matches (Fiorentina)

8 November 2026 • Serie A
D
Fiorentina
2 2
Juventus
2 November 2026 • Serie A
W
Sassuolo
2 4
Fiorentina
29 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Fiorentina
2 2
Atalanta
25 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Inter
2 1
Fiorentina
18 October 2026 • Serie A
L
Fiorentina
1 3
Como

Last Matches (Atalanta)

8 November 2026 • Serie A
W
Monza
0 1
Atalanta
5 November 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
D
Atalanta
1 1
Kairat Almaty
2 November 2026 • Serie A
L
Atalanta
0 3
Parma
29 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Fiorentina
2 2
Atalanta
25 October 2026 • Serie A
D
Atalanta
4 4
Frosinone

Related Predictions

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Fiorentina vs Atalanta FAQs

What is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction?

Our tip is Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 72% at odds of 1.39.

When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Friday 22 May 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC, in the Serie A, at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?

In the last 4 meetings, Fiorentina have won 1, Atalanta have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 October 2026, finished Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta. Our Under 2.5 tip won.

Discussion & Tips

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Standings & Stats — Serie A

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