Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 1-1, producing 2 total goals. The Under 2.5 prediction therefore landed successfully.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Preview
Fiorentina face Atalanta in the Serie A on Friday 22 May 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
Fiorentina are 15th with 42 points from 38 games, while Atalanta are 7th with 59. That leaves Atalanta 17 points ahead.
At home this season Fiorentina average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Atalanta average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded. Fiorentina have kept 10 clean sheets and failed to score 11 times; Atalanta have 13 clean sheets and 8 blanks.
Fiorentina have scored 10 and conceded 11 in their last 5 matches, with 5 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 5. Atalanta have scored 8 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
Fiorentina come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Atalanta have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Fiorentina currently sit 15th on 42 points, with Atalanta placed 7th on 59 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 72% probability at odds of 1.39.
Key Match Factors
- Atalanta have the better recent form (6 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Fiorentina have scored 41 goals this season compared with 51 for Atalanta.
- Defensively, Fiorentina have conceded 50 and Atalanta have conceded 36.
- League positions: Fiorentina 15th, Atalanta 7th.
- Fiorentina have won 4 of 19 home matches in this competition.
- Atalanta have won 6 of 19 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Under 2.5
- Fiorentina matches average 2.4 total goals this season and Atalanta matches 2.2.
- 5 of Fiorentina's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
- 3 of Atalanta's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Fiorentina have won 1, Atalanta have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 October 2026, finished Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Fiorentina | 2 : 2 | Atalanta |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Atalanta | 2 : 0 | Fiorentina |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 : 0 | Atalanta |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Atalanta | 3 : 2 | Fiorentina |
Season Statistics
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
W
D
D
L
D
W
D
|
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
|
| Played | 38 | 38 |
|
|
||
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
|
|
||
| Draws | 15 | 14 |
|
|
||
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
|
|
||
| Goals for (avg) | 1.1 | 1.3 |
|
|
||
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 0.9 |
|
|
||
| Clean sheets | 10 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 8 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 3 |
Last Matches (Fiorentina)
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Last Matches (Atalanta)
Monza
Atalanta
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Related Predictions
Fiorentina vs Atalanta FAQs
What is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction?
Our tip is Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 72% at odds of 1.39.
When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Friday 22 May 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC, in the Serie A, at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
In the last 4 meetings, Fiorentina have won 1, Atalanta have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 October 2026, finished Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta. Our Under 2.5 tip won.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Serie A
Loading…