Gremio vs Fluminense
Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 1-1. The 1X (home or draw) prediction landed successfully.
Gremio vs Fluminense Preview
Gremio face Fluminense in the Serie A on Sunday 26 July 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.
Gremio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games, while Fluminense are 4th with 57. That leaves Fluminense 20 points ahead.
At home this season Gremio average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; on the road Fluminense average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Gremio have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times; Fluminense have 7 clean sheets and 4 blanks.
Gremio have scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Fluminense have scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
Gremio come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the same window. Gremio currently sit 18th on 37 points, with Fluminense placed 4th on 57 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Combining the home win and the draw, the 1X selection covers the two most likely outcomes for Gremio. The Double Chance selection (1X) is assigned a 83% probability at odds of 1.2.
Key Match Factors
- Gremio have the better recent form (10 pts vs 9 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Gremio have scored 38 goals this season compared with 55 for Fluminense.
- Defensively, Gremio have conceded 47 and Fluminense have conceded 42.
- League positions: Gremio 18th, Fluminense 4th.
- Gremio have won 8 of 17 home matches in this competition.
- Fluminense have won 4 of 17 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip 1X
- Gremio at home: 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 17 games.
- Fluminense away from home: 4 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats from 17 games.
- Gremio have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches.
- Fluminense have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Gremio have won 0, Fluminense have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 28 January 2026, finished Fluminense 2-1 Gremio.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Fluminense | 2 : 1 | Gremio |
| Dec 03, 2025 | Gremio | 1 : 2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 03, 2025 | Fluminense | 1 : 0 | Gremio |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Fluminense | 2 : 2 | Gremio |
Season Statistics
| Gremio | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
D
D
D
L
W
W
L
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W
W
L
L
L
W
W
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| Played | 34 | 34 |
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| Wins | 9 | 16 |
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| Draws | 10 | 9 |
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| Losses | 15 | 9 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.1 | 1.6 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.2 |
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| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 10 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Last Matches (Gremio)
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Gremio
Gremio
Coritiba
Last Matches (Fluminense)
Vitoria
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Related Predictions
Gremio vs Fluminense FAQs
What is the Gremio vs Fluminense prediction?
Our tip is 1X (Double Chance), with a probability of 83% at odds of 1.2.
When is Gremio vs Fluminense?
Sunday 26 July 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC, in the Serie A, at Arena do Grêmio.
What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Fluminense?
In the last 4 meetings, Gremio have won 0, Fluminense have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 28 January 2026, finished Fluminense 2-1 Gremio.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio 1-1 Fluminense. Our 1X tip won.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Serie A
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