Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide

Hegelmann Litauen face Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round) on Thursday 9 July 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC at Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario.

At home this season Hegelmann Litauen average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road Paide average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Hegelmann Litauen have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Paide have 2 clean sheets and 1 blank.

Hegelmann Litauen have scored 3 and conceded 11 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Paide have scored 6 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Hegelmann Litauen come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, while Paide have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same window. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 3 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

• Paide have the better recent form (10 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Hegelmann Litauen have scored 1 goals this season compared with 7 for Paide.
• Defensively, Hegelmann Litauen have conceded 4 and Paide have conceded 8.
• The last 1 H2H meetings average 3 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 2.5.

• Hegelmann Litauen matches average 2.5 total goals this season and Paide matches 2.5.
• 2 of Hegelmann Litauen's last 4 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 2 of Paide's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, Hegelmann Litauen have won 0, Paide have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 16 July 2026, finished Paide 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen.