Homeboyz vs Kenya Police

Homeboyz face Kenya Police in the FKF Premier League on Monday 22 December 2025, kick-off 12:00 UTC at Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega.

At home this season Homeboyz average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Kenya Police average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. Homeboyz have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times; Kenya Police have 17 clean sheets and 13 blanks.

Homeboyz have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Kenya Police have scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Homeboyz come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Kenya Police have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 4 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.

• Kenya Police have the better recent form (8 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Homeboyz have scored 47 goals this season compared with 31 for Kenya Police.
• Defensively, Homeboyz have conceded 37 and Kenya Police have conceded 21.
• Homeboyz have won 7 of 17 home matches in this competition.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 2.8 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Homeboyz at home: 7 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
• Kenya Police away from home: 7 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
• Homeboyz have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches.
• Kenya Police have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Homeboyz have won 1, Kenya Police have won 0 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 8 November 2026, finished Homeboyz 2-2 Kenya Police.