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Italy vs France

Italy vs France Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Italy
Italy
3 : 1
Full Time
France
France
Prediction Odds Confidence
Draw 1.30
77.00%
Italy:
L W D W W
France:
W W D W L

Prediction Result: LOST

Final Score 3 : 1
Tip Given Draw
Outcome LOST

The match finished 3-1. The draw prediction did not land.

Italy vs France Preview

Italy face France in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.

Italy are 1st with 10 points from 5 games, while France are 2nd with 10. The two sides are level on points.

At home this season Italy average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; on the road France average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Italy have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; France have 2 clean sheets and 0 blanks.

Italy have scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. France have scored 7 and conceded 2 in their last 4 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Italy come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while France have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same window. Italy currently sit 1st on 10 points, with France placed 2nd on 10 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 14 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 4 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.

Key Match Factors

  • Both sides are level on recent form (10 pts each from their last matches).
  • Italy have scored 11 goals this season compared with 8 for France.
  • Defensively, Italy have conceded 6 and France have conceded 5.
  • League positions: Italy 1st, France 2nd.
  • Italy have won 2 of 3 home matches in this competition.
  • France have won 2 of 3 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Draw

  • Italy at home: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 3 games.
  • France away from home: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 3 games.
  • Italy have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches.
  • France have taken 10 points from their last 4 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Italy have won 1, France have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished France 1-1 Italy.

Date Home Score Away
Oct 02, 2026 France 1 : 1 Italy
Nov 17, 2024 Italy 1 : 3 France
Sep 06, 2024 France 1 : 3 Italy
Jun 01, 2018 France 3 : 1 Italy

Season Statistics

Italy France
Form
L W D W W
W W D W L
Played 5 5
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 1 1
Goals for (avg) 2.2 1.6
Goals against (avg) 1.2 1.0
Clean sheets 0 2
Failed to score 1 0
Biggest win streak 1 2

Last Matches (Italy)

5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Italy
3 1
Türkiye
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
1 4
Italy
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
0 2
Belgium

Last Matches (France)

5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
France
4 1
Belgium
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Belgium
0 1
France
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
0 1
France

Related Predictions

More Draw predictions

Italy vs France FAQs

What is the Italy vs France prediction?

Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.

When is Italy vs France?

Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.

What is the head-to-head record between Italy and France?

In the last 4 meetings, Italy have won 1, France have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished France 1-1 Italy.

What was the final score of Italy vs France?

Italy 3-1 France. Our Draw tip lost.

Discussion & Tips

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Standings & Stats — UEFA Nations League

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