Mathare United vs Kenya Police

Mathare United face Kenya Police in the FKF Premier League on Tuesday 14 April 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC at Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi.

At home this season Mathare United average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Kenya Police average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. Mathare United have kept 12 clean sheets and failed to score 12 times; Kenya Police have 17 clean sheets and 13 blanks.

Mathare United have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Kenya Police have scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Mathare United come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Kenya Police have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 5 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.

• Kenya Police have the better recent form (8 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Mathare United have scored 31 goals this season compared with 31 for Kenya Police.
• Defensively, Mathare United have conceded 35 and Kenya Police have conceded 21.
• Mathare United have won 7 of 17 home matches in this competition.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 1.3 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Mathare United at home: 7 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from 17 games.
• Kenya Police away from home: 7 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
• Mathare United have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
• Kenya Police have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Mathare United have won 1, Kenya Police have won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 22 November 2025, finished Kenya Police 1-0 Mathare United.