Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 2-2. The draw prediction landed successfully.
Newcastle vs Chelsea Preview
Newcastle face Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December 2025, kick-off 12:30 UTC at St. James' Park, Newcastle.
Newcastle are 12th with 49 points from 38 games, while Chelsea are 10th with 52. That leaves Chelsea 3 points ahead.
At home this season Newcastle average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; on the road Chelsea average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded. Newcastle have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times; Chelsea have 9 clean sheets and 7 blanks.
Newcastle have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Chelsea have scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.
Match Analysis
Newcastle come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Newcastle currently sit 12th on 49 points, with Chelsea placed 10th on 52 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 8 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.
Key Match Factors
- Chelsea have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Newcastle have scored 53 goals this season compared with 58 for Chelsea.
- Defensively, Newcastle have conceded 55 and Chelsea have conceded 52.
- League positions: Newcastle 12th, Chelsea 10th.
- Newcastle have won 10 of 19 home matches in this competition.
- Chelsea have won 7 of 19 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Draw
- Newcastle at home: 10 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 19 games.
- Chelsea away from home: 7 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats from 19 games.
- Newcastle have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
- Chelsea have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Newcastle have won 3, Chelsea have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 March 2026, finished Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Chelsea | 0 : 1 | Newcastle |
| May 11, 2025 | Newcastle | 2 : 0 | Chelsea |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Newcastle | 2 : 0 | Chelsea |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Chelsea | 2 : 1 | Newcastle |
Season Statistics
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
L
W
D
W
L
|
L
L
L
L
D
W
L
|
| Played | 38 | 38 |
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| Wins | 14 | 14 |
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| Draws | 7 | 10 |
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| Losses | 17 | 14 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 1.5 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.4 |
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| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 7 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 4 |
Last Matches (Newcastle)
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Last Matches (Chelsea)
Sunderland
Chelsea
Liverpool
Chelsea
Everton
Related Predictions
Newcastle vs Chelsea FAQs
What is the Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction?
Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 90% at odds of 1.11.
When is Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Saturday 20 December 2025, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in the Premier League, at St. James' Park.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Chelsea?
In the last 4 meetings, Newcastle have won 3, Chelsea have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 March 2026, finished Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle.
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Chelsea?
Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea. Our Draw tip won.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 |
Sunderland
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 |
Brighton
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 |
Brentford
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 |
Fulham
|
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 |
Everton
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 |
Leeds
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |