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Newcastle vs Chelsea

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
2 : 2
Full Time
Chelsea
Chelsea
Prediction Odds Confidence
Draw 1.11
90.00%
Newcastle:
L W L L D
Chelsea:
W L D W L

Prediction Result: WON

Final Score 2 : 2
Tip Given Draw
Outcome WON

The match finished 2-2. The draw prediction landed successfully.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Preview

Newcastle face Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December 2025, kick-off 12:30 UTC at St. James' Park, Newcastle.

Newcastle are 12th with 49 points from 38 games, while Chelsea are 10th with 52. That leaves Chelsea 3 points ahead.

At home this season Newcastle average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; on the road Chelsea average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded. Newcastle have kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times; Chelsea have 9 clean sheets and 7 blanks.

Newcastle have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Chelsea have scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Match Analysis

Newcastle come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Newcastle currently sit 12th on 49 points, with Chelsea placed 10th on 52 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 8 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.

Key Match Factors

  • Chelsea have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Newcastle have scored 53 goals this season compared with 58 for Chelsea.
  • Defensively, Newcastle have conceded 55 and Chelsea have conceded 52.
  • League positions: Newcastle 12th, Chelsea 10th.
  • Newcastle have won 10 of 19 home matches in this competition.
  • Chelsea have won 7 of 19 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Draw

  • Newcastle at home: 10 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 19 games.
  • Chelsea away from home: 7 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats from 19 games.
  • Newcastle have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
  • Chelsea have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Newcastle have won 3, Chelsea have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 March 2026, finished Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle.

Date Home Score Away
Mar 14, 2026 Chelsea 0 : 1 Newcastle
May 11, 2025 Newcastle 2 : 0 Chelsea
Oct 30, 2024 Newcastle 2 : 0 Chelsea
Oct 27, 2024 Chelsea 2 : 1 Newcastle

Season Statistics

Newcastle Chelsea
Form
L L L W D W L
L L L L D W L
Played 38 38
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 14
Goals for (avg) 1.4 1.5
Goals against (avg) 1.4 1.4
Clean sheets 8 9
Failed to score 9 7
Biggest win streak 3 4

Last Matches (Newcastle)

7 November 2026 • Premier League
D
Fulham
1 1
Newcastle
2 November 2026 • Premier League
L
Newcastle
0 1
Everton
29 October 2026 • League Cup
L
Everton
3 1
Newcastle
25 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Crystal Palace
0 2
Newcastle
17 October 2026 • Premier League
L
Newcastle
0 1
Aston Villa

Last Matches (Chelsea)

8 November 2026 • Premier League
L
Sunderland
1 0
Chelsea
31 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
2 0
Manchester United
28 October 2026 • League Cup
D
Liverpool
1 1
Chelsea
24 October 2026 • Premier League
L
Chelsea
0 2
Tottenham
17 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Everton
0 2
Chelsea

Related Predictions

More Draw predictions

Newcastle vs Chelsea FAQs

What is the Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction?

Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 90% at odds of 1.11.

When is Newcastle vs Chelsea?

Saturday 20 December 2025, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in the Premier League, at St. James' Park.

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Chelsea?

In the last 4 meetings, Newcastle have won 3, Chelsea have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 March 2026, finished Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle.

What was the final score of Newcastle vs Chelsea?

Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea. Our Draw tip won.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Premier League

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Arsenal Arsenal 38 26 7 5 85
2 Manchester City Manchester City 38 23 9 6 78
3 Manchester United Manchester United 38 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool Liverpool 38 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland Sunderland 38 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Brighton 38 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford Brentford 38 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea Chelsea 38 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham Fulham 38 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle Newcastle 38 14 7 17 49
13 Everton Everton 38 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds Leeds 38 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham Tottenham 38 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham West Ham 38 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley Burnley 38 4 10 24 22
20 Wolves Wolves 38 3 11 24 20