Quindio vs Atletico Nacional

Quindio face Atletico Nacional in the Copa Colombia (Round of 16) on Thursday 4 September 2025, kick-off 00:45 UTC at Estadio Centenario, Armenia.

At home this season Quindio average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; on the road Atletico Nacional average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Quindio have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times; Atletico Nacional have 7 clean sheets and 1 blank.

Quindio have scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Atletico Nacional have scored 10 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.

Quindio come into this fixture with a recent record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, while Atletico Nacional have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, 5 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.

• Quindio have the better recent form (12 pts vs 9 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Quindio have scored 8 goals this season compared with 20 for Atletico Nacional.
• Defensively, Quindio have conceded 11 and Atletico Nacional have conceded 5.
• The last 2 H2H meetings average 2.5 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Quindio at home: 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 3 games.
• Atletico Nacional away from home: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 5 games.
• Quindio have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches.
• Atletico Nacional have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 2 meetings, Quindio have won 0, Atletico Nacional have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 August 2025, finished Atletico Nacional 4-0 Quindio.