Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors

Sarmiento Junin face Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina (Round of 32) on Friday 17 July 2026, kick-off 00:45 UTC at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario.

At home this season Sarmiento Junin average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road Boca Juniors average 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Sarmiento Junin have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time; Boca Juniors have 3 clean sheets and 0 blanks.

Sarmiento Junin have scored 3 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Boca Juniors have scored 9 and conceded 1 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Sarmiento Junin come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, while Boca Juniors have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 7 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 1.8 goals, which supports the Under 5.5 line. The Over/Under selection (Under 5.5) is assigned a 94% probability at odds of 1.06.

• Boca Juniors have the better recent form (15 pts vs 2 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Sarmiento Junin have scored 1 goals this season compared with 8 for Boca Juniors.
• Defensively, Sarmiento Junin have conceded 2 and Boca Juniors have conceded 2.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 1.8 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 5.5.

• Sarmiento Junin matches average 1.5 total goals this season and Boca Juniors matches 2.5.
• 0 of Sarmiento Junin's last 5 matches went over 5.5 goals.
• 0 of Boca Juniors' last 5 matches went over 5.5 goals.
• The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals.

In the last 4 meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 1, Boca Juniors have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 11 November 2024, finished Sarmiento Junin 0-2 Boca Juniors.