Tobacco Road vs Appalachian

Tobacco Road face Appalachian in the USL League Two (Group Stage) on Wednesday 17 June 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.

At home this season Tobacco Road average 1.1 goals scored and 2.9 conceded per game; on the road Appalachian average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded. Tobacco Road have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times; Appalachian have 8 clean sheets and 2 blanks.

Tobacco Road have scored 7 and conceded 11 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Appalachian have scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Tobacco Road come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Appalachian have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 90% probability at odds of 1.11.

• Appalachian have the better recent form (12 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Tobacco Road have scored 26 goals this season compared with 35 for Appalachian.
• Defensively, Tobacco Road have conceded 34 and Appalachian have conceded 17.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Tobacco Road at home: 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 7 games.
• Appalachian away from home: 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 games.
• Tobacco Road have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
• Appalachian have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches.