Toluca vs Monterrey
Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 4-0, with Toluca winning, so the home win prediction landed successfully.
Toluca vs Monterrey Preview
Toluca face Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.
Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games, while Monterrey are 7th with 24. That leaves Toluca 3 points ahead.
At home this season Toluca average 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; on the road Monterrey average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. Toluca have kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Monterrey have 3 clean sheets and 4 blanks.
Toluca have scored 6 and conceded 6 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4. Monterrey have scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.
Match Analysis
Toluca come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats, while Monterrey have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Toluca currently sit 4th on 27 points, with Monterrey placed 7th on 24 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The home side is favoured for this fixture, backing the Toluca win. The Home Win selection (Home Win) is assigned a 66% probability at odds of 1.52.
Key Match Factors
- Both sides are level on recent form (7 pts each from their last matches).
- Toluca have scored 35 goals this season compared with 26 for Monterrey.
- Defensively, Toluca have conceded 21 and Monterrey have conceded 25.
- League positions: Toluca 4th, Monterrey 7th.
- Toluca have won 4 of 8 home matches in this competition.
- Monterrey have won 3 of 8 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Home Win
- Toluca at home: 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 8 games.
- Monterrey away from home: 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 7 games.
- Toluca have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.
- Monterrey have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 | Monterrey | 2 : 1 | Toluca |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Toluca | 2 : 0 | Monterrey |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Monterrey | 0 : 1 | Toluca |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Toluca | 3 : 2 | Monterrey |
Season Statistics
| Toluca | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
D
L
D
D
D
D
W
|
L
D
W
W
L
D
L
|
| Played | 16 | 15 |
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| Wins | 7 | 6 |
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| Draws | 6 | 3 |
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| Losses | 3 | 6 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 2.2 | 1.7 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.7 |
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| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 2 |
Last Matches (Toluca)
Club America
Leon
Toluca
Toluca
Last Matches (Monterrey)
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
Monterrey
Puebla
Related Predictions
Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs
What is the Toluca vs Monterrey prediction?
Our tip is Home Win (Home Win), with a probability of 66% at odds of 1.52.
When is Toluca vs Monterrey?
Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC, in the Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Monterrey?
In the last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca 4-0 Monterrey. Our Home Win tip won.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — Liga MX
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