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Toluca vs Monterrey

Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga MX

Toluca
Toluca
4 : 0
Full Time
Monterrey
Monterrey
Prediction Odds Confidence
Home Win 1.52
66.00%
Toluca:
D D D D W
Monterrey:
W L D L W

Prediction Result: WON

Final Score 4 : 0
Tip Given Home Win
Outcome WON

The match finished 4-0, with Toluca winning, so the home win prediction landed successfully.

Toluca vs Monterrey Preview

Toluca face Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games, while Monterrey are 7th with 24. That leaves Toluca 3 points ahead.

At home this season Toluca average 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; on the road Monterrey average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. Toluca have kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Monterrey have 3 clean sheets and 4 blanks.

Toluca have scored 6 and conceded 6 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4. Monterrey have scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Toluca come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats, while Monterrey have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Toluca currently sit 4th on 27 points, with Monterrey placed 7th on 24 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. The home side is favoured for this fixture, backing the Toluca win. The Home Win selection (Home Win) is assigned a 66% probability at odds of 1.52.

Key Match Factors

  • Both sides are level on recent form (7 pts each from their last matches).
  • Toluca have scored 35 goals this season compared with 26 for Monterrey.
  • Defensively, Toluca have conceded 21 and Monterrey have conceded 25.
  • League positions: Toluca 4th, Monterrey 7th.
  • Toluca have won 4 of 8 home matches in this competition.
  • Monterrey have won 3 of 8 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Home Win

  • Toluca at home: 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 8 games.
  • Monterrey away from home: 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 7 games.
  • Toluca have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.
  • Monterrey have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.

Date Home Score Away
Oct 03, 2026 Monterrey 2 : 1 Toluca
Sep 07, 2026 Toluca 2 : 0 Monterrey
Jan 11, 2026 Monterrey 0 : 1 Toluca
Dec 07, 2025 Toluca 3 : 2 Monterrey

Season Statistics

Toluca Monterrey
Form
D L D D D D W
L D W W L D L
Played 16 15
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 6
Goals for (avg) 2.2 1.7
Goals against (avg) 1.3 1.7
Clean sheets 5 3
Failed to score 1 4
Biggest win streak 4 2

Last Matches (Toluca)

1 November 2026 • Liga MX
D
Club America
2 2
Toluca
24 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Leon
1 1
Toluca
22 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Toluca
2 2
Club Tijuana
18 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Toluca
1 1
Atletico San Luis

Last Matches (Monterrey)

14 November 2026 • Liga MX
W
Club Queretaro
0 1
Monterrey
1 November 2026 • Liga MX
D
Monterrey
3 3
Club Tijuana
25 October 2026 • Liga MX
L
Monterrey
0 1
Guadalajara Chivas
22 October 2026 • Liga MX
W
Puebla
1 4
Monterrey

Related Predictions

More Home Win predictions

Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs

What is the Toluca vs Monterrey prediction?

Our tip is Home Win (Home Win), with a probability of 66% at odds of 1.52.

When is Toluca vs Monterrey?

Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC, in the Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Monterrey?

In the last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.

What was the final score of Toluca vs Monterrey?

Toluca 4-0 Monterrey. Our Home Win tip won.

Discussion & Tips

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