Toluca vs Necaxa

Toluca face Necaxa in the Liga MX (Apertura - 3) on Monday 3 August 2026, kick-off 01:10 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games, while Necaxa are 17th with 13. That leaves Toluca 14 points ahead.

At home this season Toluca average 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; on the road Necaxa average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded. Toluca have kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Necaxa have 1 clean sheet and 4 blanks.

Toluca have scored 10 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4. Necaxa have scored 2 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Toluca come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats, while Necaxa have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. Toluca currently sit 4th on 27 points, with Necaxa placed 17th on 13 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 18 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 4.5 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

• Toluca have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Toluca have scored 35 goals this season compared with 17 for Necaxa.
• Defensively, Toluca have conceded 21 and Necaxa have conceded 28.
• League positions: Toluca 4th, Necaxa 17th.
• Toluca have won 4 of 8 home matches in this competition.
• Necaxa have won 0 of 7 away matches in this competition.

• Toluca matches average 3.5 total goals this season and Necaxa matches 2.9.
• 5 of Toluca's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• 2 of Necaxa's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.5 goals.

In the last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 4, Necaxa have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 22 February 2026, finished Necaxa 0-3 Toluca.