Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors

Velez Sarsfield face Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina (Round of 16) on Thursday 3 September 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba.

At home this season Velez Sarsfield average 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; on the road Boca Juniors average 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Velez Sarsfield have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time; Boca Juniors have 3 clean sheets and 0 blanks.

Velez Sarsfield have scored 8 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Boca Juniors have scored 8 and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Velez Sarsfield come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Boca Juniors have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 13 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 68% probability at odds of 1.47.

• Boca Juniors have the better recent form (15 pts vs 7 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Velez Sarsfield have scored 6 goals this season compared with 8 for Boca Juniors.
• Defensively, Velez Sarsfield have conceded 2 and Boca Juniors have conceded 2.
• The last 4 H2H meetings average 3.3 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model sees the teams as evenly matched.

• Velez Sarsfield at home: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 3 games.
• Boca Juniors away from home: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 3 games.
• Velez Sarsfield have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
• Boca Juniors have taken 15 points from their last 5 matches.

In the last 4 meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 2, Boca Juniors have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 August 2026, finished Boca Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield.