Wales vs Portugal
Wales vs Portugal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Wales vs Portugal Preview
Wales face Portugal in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 6) on Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
Wales are 4th with 3 points from 5 games, while Portugal are 1st with 12. That leaves Portugal 9 points ahead.
At home this season Wales average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road Portugal average 3.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Wales have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times; Portugal have 1 clean sheet and 0 blanks.
Wales have scored 3 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Portugal have scored 10 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.
Match Analysis
Wales come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats, while Portugal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Wales currently sit 4th on 3 points, with Portugal placed 1st on 12 points. Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, 3 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (Draw) is assigned a 77% probability at odds of 1.3.
Key Match Factors
- Portugal have the better recent form (12 pts vs 3 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Wales have scored 3 goals this season compared with 10 for Portugal.
- Defensively, Wales have conceded 8 and Portugal have conceded 8.
- League positions: Wales 4th, Portugal 1st.
- Wales have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
- Portugal have won 2 of 2 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Draw
- Wales at home: 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 2 games.
- Portugal away from home: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
- Wales have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches.
- Portugal have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 2 meetings, Wales have won 0, Portugal have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 24 September 2026, finished Portugal 1-0 Wales.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Portugal | 1 : 0 | Wales |
| Jul 06, 2016 | Portugal | 2 : 0 | Wales |
Season Statistics
| Wales | Portugal | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
W
L
L
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W
W
W
W
L
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| Played | 5 | 5 |
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| Wins | 1 | 4 |
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| Draws | 0 | 0 |
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| Losses | 4 | 1 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 0.6 | 2.0 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.6 | 1.6 |
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| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 4 |
Last Matches (Wales)
Norway
Wales
Wales
Denmark
Portugal
Last Matches (Portugal)
Portugal
Portugal
Denmark
Norway
Portugal
Related Predictions
Wales vs Portugal FAQs
What is the Wales vs Portugal prediction?
Our tip is Draw (Draw), with a probability of 77% at odds of 1.3.
When is Wales vs Portugal?
Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at Cardiff City Stadium.
What is the head-to-head record between Wales and Portugal?
In the last 2 meetings, Wales have won 0, Portugal have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 24 September 2026, finished Portugal 1-0 Wales.
Discussion & Tips
Standings & Stats — UEFA Nations League
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