Belgium vs Italy

Belgium face Italy in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 6) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Roi Baudouin, Brussels.

Belgium are 3rd with 9 points from 5 games, while Italy are 1st with 10. That leaves Italy 1 point ahead.

At home this season Belgium average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road Italy average 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Belgium have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Italy have 0 clean sheets and 1 blank.

Belgium have scored 8 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Italy have scored 11 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.

Belgium come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, while Italy have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same window. Belgium currently sit 3rd on 9 points, with Italy placed 1st on 10 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 13 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.6 goals, which supports the Over 2.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Over 2.5) is assigned a 60.24% probability at odds of 1.66.

• Italy have the better recent form (10 pts vs 9 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Belgium have scored 8 goals this season compared with 11 for Italy.
• Defensively, Belgium have conceded 6 and Italy have conceded 6.
• League positions: Belgium 3rd, Italy 1st.
• Belgium have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Italy have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Belgium matches average 2.8 total goals this season and Italy matches 3.4.
• 3 of Belgium's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 3 of Italy's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals.

In the last 5 meetings, Belgium have won 1, Italy have won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 September 2026, finished Italy 0-2 Belgium.