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Finland vs San Marino

Finland vs San Marino Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Finland
Finland
17:00
Nov 15th
San Marino
San Marino
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.26
79.37%
Finland:
W D W L L
San Marino:
L L L L L

Finland vs San Marino Preview

Finland face San Marino in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 6) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC at Bolt Arena, Helsinki.

Finland are 3rd with 7 points from 5 games, while San Marino are 4th with 0. That leaves Finland 7 points ahead.

At home this season Finland average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road San Marino average 0.5 scored and 3.0 conceded. Finland have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times; San Marino have 0 clean sheets and 4 blanks.

Finland have scored 9 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. San Marino have scored 1 and conceded 18 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Match Analysis

Finland come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while San Marino have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in the same window. Finland currently sit 3rd on 7 points, with San Marino placed 4th on 0 points. Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, 16 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 5.3 goals, which supports the Over 2.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Over 2.5) is assigned a 79.37% probability at odds of 1.26.

Key Match Factors

  • Finland have the better recent form (7 pts vs 0 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Finland have scored 9 goals this season compared with 1 for San Marino.
  • Defensively, Finland have conceded 4 and San Marino have conceded 18.
  • League positions: Finland 3rd, San Marino 4th.
  • Finland have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
  • San Marino have won 0 of 2 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Over 2.5

  • Finland matches average 2.6 total goals this season and San Marino matches 3.8.
  • 2 of Finland's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • 4 of San Marino's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.3 goals.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 3 meetings, Finland have won 3, San Marino have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 26 September 2026, finished San Marino 0-7 Finland.

Date Home Score Away
Sep 26, 2026 San Marino 0 : 7 Finland
Nov 20, 2023 San Marino 1 : 2 Finland
Jun 19, 2023 Finland 6 : 0 San Marino

Season Statistics

Finland San Marino
Form
W D W L L
L L L L L
Played 5 5
Wins 2 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 2 5
Goals for (avg) 1.8 0.2
Goals against (avg) 0.8 3.6
Clean sheets 2 0
Failed to score 3 4
Biggest win streak 1 0

Last Matches (Finland)

12 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Albania
2 0
Finland
6 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Belarus
1 0
Finland
3 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Finland
2 1
Albania
29 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Finland
0 0
Belarus
26 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
San Marino
0 7
Finland

Last Matches (San Marino)

12 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
San Marino
0 2
Belarus
6 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Albania
2 1
San Marino
3 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Belarus
4 0
San Marino
29 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
San Marino
0 3
Albania
26 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
San Marino
0 7
Finland

Related Predictions

More Over 2.5 Goals predictions

Finland vs San Marino FAQs

What is the Finland vs San Marino prediction?

Our tip is Over 2.5 (Over 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 79.37% at odds of 1.26.

When is Finland vs San Marino?

Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at Bolt Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Finland and San Marino?

In the last 3 meetings, Finland have won 3, San Marino have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 26 September 2026, finished San Marino 0-7 Finland.

Discussion & Tips

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Standings & Stats — UEFA Nations League

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